The head of civilian intelligence, Peter Mlinke, who was in contact with the accused businessman Michel Riedel, resigned, but the whole case is unpleasant for the government coalition, assesses political expert Lubomir Kubischek: “Especially because the Dosmiter case continued in this way, although its climax was a little before the summer. Because of Mlejnek, the Dosimeter issue and rising energy prices, the opposition called for a vote of no confidence in the government on Thursday.
Dosing status He points out that inflation and energy prices can harm the ruling parties In the program How do you see… Kopeček from the Department of Political Science, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University.
We’ll see that in the municipal elections. In big cities, this can do great harm to the ruling parties. It may happen that some of their voters do not come to the polls, or they may go to other parties.”
Kubišek does not expect Thursday’s session of the House of Representatives to end with a vote of no-confidence in the government. The coalition includes 108 votes in the House of Representatives.
“I think it’s basically a clarifying vote without fulfilling the purpose for which the constitution has it, which is the real threat to the existence of government. The no-confidence motion has been used a lot in the last fifteen or twenty years, because it’s very easy to get a vote. With one exception in 2009, it didn’t Never succeed from the point of view of the opposition,” sums up the world of politics.
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But the opposition is at the center of events at that moment. “It can draw attention to opposition politicians. Although it is a constitutional institution, today it acts as a media-friendly issue,” Kubišek adds.
Papis is likely to run for president
Although opposition leader André Papis (ANO) is touring the republic and meeting voters, he claims that this is not a presidential campaign for the January 2023 elections. He wants to announce his potential candidacy only in November.
Kubischek explains such a delay: “However, there can be an element of hesitation.” According to him, the second reason may be that Babish is trying to avoid the financial limits of the campaign.
“I would also like to remind you that the trial of Andrei Babis will begin in about two weeks. It is unfortunate that my candidacy will be announced at a time when I am facing trial. In my opinion, the delay may also be related to the fact that by then a public hearing will take place. So the interest in this matter will weaken a little And this, of course, can be useful for Andrei Babis.”
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If Babis had not run for president in the end, he would have changed the course of the campaign overall, Kubis believes:
“Babish is a very polarizing figure, which I see as controversial and at the same time has a great political and electoral background behind him. He is one of the favorites in the elections. I think he will probably announce his candidacy and this at this point is really a tactical move.”
At a time of energy crisis and high inflation, support for government parties is decreasing. Having your own presidential candidate at this point is a path to failure, frankly. I am afraid that if one of the senior politicians in the coalition is a joint candidate now, it is very likely that he will end up like Karel Schwarzenberg in 2013”, the political scientist estimates.
Milos Zeman, who faced Schwarzenberg in the second round, could suggest that his opponent is linked to an unpopular government.
Listen to the full interview in the audio.